Via an email newsletter from Eileen Flanagan, I found out about an interactive web site/story called “What If Trump Wins?”. The site presents the reader with an initial choice – does Trump or Biden win the 2024 US presidential election? Based on what result the reader selects, a set of other choices is presented along with a narrative to fit the initial choice. From the main site page, there are 25 different ways that the story ends. The site was created by the advocacy group Choose Democracy, which conducted trainings back in the 2020 election to prepare for a coup or possible electoral mischief. I “played” the story both ways (first selecting Trump and following the suggested actions, then selecting Biden and following different actions). I thought it was an excellent “thought exercise” which provided insight in how a Trump presidency might unfold. Check it out – it might make you want to get involved in the election!
Protests
There are 12 posts filed in Protests (this is page 1 of 2).
Book Review: “Rules for Resistance: Advice from Around the Globe for the Age of Trump”
I found this book on the shelves near the John Kasich book I posted about yesterday. The book is a series of essays published in 2017 and edited by David Cole, National Legal Director for the ACLU. The essays are grouped by region (Europe, The Middle East, Asia, Latin America) as well as a set of essays for journalists covering Trump, and the text of the original guide from the group Indivisible.
Each essay passes on ideas/anecdotes on specific authoritarian rulers in those regions. The ones about Silvio Berlusconi in Italy were most like Trump, but essays about Orban, Modi, and Putin were also instructive. There were two essays that I thought had the best advice for opposing Trump:
Luigi Zingales, in an op-ed for the New York Times in November 2016 (paywall, also mostly available in this Washington Examiner post), compares Trump and Berlusconi, showing many similarities. He points out that Hillary Clinton spent so much time explaining how bad Trump was that she did not often promote her own ideas, to make the positive case for voting for her. Also, the news media focused too much on Trump’s behavior. The only two politicians who beat Berlusconi did it by focusing on the issues, not Berlusconi’s character. From this, I would say that the Democratic Party is trying to point out the significant policy differences between Trump and Biden, but I think there is still too much focus on Trump’s character flaws. Also, the hope that the indictments against Trump would keep him out of the election have gone for naught, so he will have to be beaten at the ballot box.
Anne Applebaum wrote an article for the Washington Post (also available on her site) called “Advice from Europe for Anti-Trump Protesters”, in which she made some observations about elections in Poland in 2015 and 2016. A radical populist party was able to win with a minority of voters, and started to destroy democratic and state institutions. Poles took to the streets in huge demonstrations. Here is a summary of her reflections on the value of those protests (her sub-headings from the article):
- Protest makes people feel better
- Protest, if not carefully targeted, achieves little
- Protests inspire conspiracy theorists
- Politics matter more than protests
- In a democracy, real change comes through politics, political parties and elections
I think her final two sentences sum up her advice well:
“Protesting might make you feel better, it might win a few battles, and it might attract attention. I’m sorry if you are angry at “the establishment”, but you need to work for it and within it if you want it to change.”
https://www.anneapplebaum.com/2016/11/16/advice-from-europe-for-anti-trump-protesters/
Once again, it is up to us
The Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the presidential immunity appeal from Donald Trump this week (coverage from Election Law Blog, Joyce Vance at Civil Discourse, CNN takeaways, CNN live coverage, and The Bulwark). The outcome is uncertain, but appears to be headed for delaying the January 6th trial past the 2024 election. In 2022, I wrote a post on the theme of “it is up to us”, and this post can be considered a refrain. Several weeks ago, I wrote that our hopes for the courts to stop Donald Trump have been dashed. It is time for us to stand up to fight for our country. I just got a copy of “A Citizen’s Guide to Beating Donald Trump” from the library today, looking to take some action soon. It is time to get started.
Looking into protest songs
I have been looking into what protest songs/chants have been used in the past five to ten years. Researcher Noriko Manabe from Indiana University has a recent journal article and a set of posts on Medium collecting songs and chants from US protests since 2017:
Journal of Music and Politics: Chants of the Resistance: Flow, Memory, and Inclusivity
Medium: Collection of posts on chants and songs since 2017
Also, I found these links:
National Women’s History Museum: Brief overview of protest songs
The Commons Social Change Library: Listen and Watch to 40 years of Australian Blockading Songs
How to stop Donald Trump
I entered the title of this post as a search phrase in Google, and here are some of the top results:
Indivisible.org: Defeat Trump Toolkit – This resource was created in January 2023, has suggestions for organizing events, recruiting group members, and links to other content at Indivisible.org.
DefeatTrump.org: Site created by Indivisible.org. Has a way to sign up for a mailing list, and more targeted resources.
A Citizen’s Guide to Beating Donald Trump: Published in March 2020 and written by Barack Obama’s campaign manager. Quote from the Amazon page: ” A playbook for the common citizen, A Citizen’s Guide to Beating Donald Trump addresses the many things individuals can do in 2020 every day, without having to leave their jobs, move to Iowa, or spend every waking moment on the election.”
Congressman Jerry Nadler: Some specific actions listed, slanted toward stopping Trump during his term as president.
The New Yorker: Nine Ways to Oppose Donald Trump – Written in December 2016 after the election, the article lists nine specific ways to help stop Trump from being successful in office.
The Guardian: “Election season has come. Here’s what you need to do to stop Trump from winning” – Written in September 2023, Robert Reich (former Secretary of Labor in the Clinton adminstration) has some advice/suggestions for getting involved.
An example of semaphore using email
Earlier this week, I commented on Ken Smith’s inquiry into the use of semaphore for communication, noting that I felt his interest in the use of semaphore was to inform people in case of a crisis. This morning, I received an email alert from the Americans of Conscience Checklist. This group sends email on a regular basis with selected actions to promote progressive issues (I am a subscriber). In this email alert, (called a “time-sensitive” action), subscribers were asked to call US senators to ask them to vote “No” on the FISA reauthorization bill. I think this fits the “use case” of semaphore that Ken Smith was discussing. The people subscribed to this list have been “trained” to take action on suggested items on a periodic basis, so they would have the necessary reflexes to take action for a time-sensitive request.
But, you may say, “I get emails asking me to do things (“buy stuff”) all the time – what is the difference?”. I think the difference is those emails mostly go unanswered, and the user has been trained to ignore most, if not all of them. If a group has been trained to take action in a certain way, and there is trust in the communication path, then emails like this can have an effect.
Some examples of resistance
On April 6, I published a post on “The Resistance” commenting on someone asking where “The Resistance” was. Shortly after after that post, there was a protest in Oregon over plans to log 14,000 acres of forest. This past Monday, my wife told me that there were protesters in Eugene, Oregon blocking the I-5 freeway to protest the Israel-Hamas war. There were also protesters in Hillsboro, Oregon, and later that evening I saw news coverage of multiple protests across the US and the world (see also Truthout coverage (via Denny Henke). The April 15 protests appear to have been a coordinated economic blockade by multiple groups. Looks like there is some resistance going on out there!
PS – see this Instagram post for additional pics
Democracy is not a spectator sport
Several weeks ago, I read a Substack post with this same title, as well as a Vox article titled “The courts were never going to save America from Donald Trump”. The bottom line of both articles were that the only way to defeat Donald Trump was going to be at the ballot box. But what else should we do? In my post/podcast earlier this week on “The Resistance”, I also pointed out that “doing something else” meant doing more than writing a blog post or a social media post or a podcast. I did review one of the resources I linked to in my resistance post, and it offered 3 concrete recommendations for taking action:
- Once a month, show up to either a trigger event protest with game change potential or a small, group-led action.
- Once a week, put pressure on decision makers with phone calls or at town halls.
- Vote for and do get out the vote work for movement candidates in local, state, and federal elections.
In addition, the resource gives some good guidance about finding or forming a group to take action. Let’s get out there and win this thing!
Where is the Resistance? (post + podcast)
I decided to record a podcast about recent posts from Dave Winer and Ken Smith concerning “the Resistance”.
I am including some links to items I mentioned in the podcast:
Dave Winer’s original comment on Scripting News
Same comment on Twitter, with Ken Smith reply
Another Twitter post from Dave Winer, giving an idea for a resistance movement
Expanded post from Dave Winer
Ken Smith summary (part 1) (part 2)
Threads post from Ken Smith, with Dave Winer reply
Atlanta activism podcast post
Lifelong Activist site from Hillary Rettig
Activism links collected by Andy Sylvester collected as an OPML file
Americans of Conscience checklist for April 5, 2024 – concrete things you can do
“Resistance Guide: How to Sustain the Movement to Win” – Written in 2017, the PDF linked to this page gives a short history of resistance movements in the US and provides ideas.
Activism toolkit by Ken Smith
Remembrance of the 3rd anniversary of the January 6th Insurrection
There were two major events yesterday (January 5, 2024) remembering the events of the insurrection at the US Capitol on January 6, 2021. A news conference was held by members of Congress:
President Joe Biden visited Valley Forge, Pennsylvania, and gave a speech on the insurrection and other topics:
This excerpt from the Valley Forge speech emphasized that “democracy is on the ballot in 2024”:
On January 5th, 2024, the Supreme Court accepted the case to review the Colorado Supreme Court ruling that Donald Trump should be removed from the 2024 primary ballot in Colorado. With oral argument scheduled for February 8th, 2024, there should be some clarity soon as to whether the attempts to use the 14th Amendment of the US Constitution to keep Trump off the 2024 election ballot will succeed.
Other resources:
- My liveblog of the events of January 6th
- My assessment of the electoral vote count events
- My remembrance of the second anniversary of the January 6th insurrection
- CNN: Timeline of January 6th coup (published November 5, 2021)
- CNN: January 6th coverage
- CNN: In pictures: The January 6th Capitol Riot
- NBC News: January 2022 remembrance events coverage (over 8 hr)
- NPR: Audio timeline of January 6th events
- Wikipedia: Timeline of the January 6th US Capitol Attack
- CNN: Joe Biden speech on January 5, 2024: ‘Trump did nothing’: Biden reflects on January 6 insurrection
- The Hill: Jan. 6 anniversary falls as experts sound alarm over risks to American democracy
- Indivisible Project: January 6 Day of Action Guide (links to Google Doc)
- US Dept. of Justice: Three Years Since the Jan. 6 Attack on the Capitol (update on prosecutions)